| Elections in Wyoming |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wyoming. Incumbent Senator John Barrasso was appointed to the Senate in 2007 after Craig Thomas died. Barrasso won a 2008 special election to complete Thomas' term and won full terms in 2012 and 2018. He was seeking a third full term and declared his intent to run for Assistant Republican Leader at the end of the year.[1] Primary elections took place on August 20, 2024. Wyoming has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 1977, and Barrasso was heavily favored to win another term.[2]
Having won renomination with more than 67% of the vote, Barrasso was easily re-elected with over 75% of the vote in the general election, defeating Democrat Scott Morrow, carrying every county except Teton, and flipping Albany. Barrasso overperformed Republican Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by 4.51%. This was the largest margin of victory in any U.S. Senate election since North Dakota in 2016, and it represented a significant improvement from Barrasso's 2018 performance, which was the weakest in his Senate career and the closest a Democrat ever came to winning a Senate seat in the state since 1996.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Barrasso, incumbent U.S. senator (2007–present)[1]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
John Barrasso
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021) and 2024 presidential nominee[5]
U.S. senators
- Cynthia Lummis, Wyoming (2021–present)[6]
U.S. representatives
- Harriet Hageman, WY-AL (2023–present)[5]
Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Reid Rasner (R) | $262,251 | $180,915 | $81,336 |
| John Barrasso (R) | $7,171,125 | $3,736,139 | $7,392,759 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[9] | |||
Results
Barrasso
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Barrasso (incumbent) | 70,494 | 67.9% | |
| Republican | Reid Rasner | 25,427 | 24.5% | |
| Republican | John Holtz | 7,868 | 7.6% | |
| Total votes | 103,789 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Scott Morrow, educator[3]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Scott Morrow | 10,088 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 10,088 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Solid R | May 3, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | January 24, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[14] | Safe R | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[15] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[16] | Solid R | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[17] | Solid R | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[18] | Safe R | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[19] | Solid R | October 23, 2024 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
John Barrasso |
Scott Morrow |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[20] | October 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 73% | 26% | 1% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Barrasso (incumbent) | 198,418 | 75.11% | +8.15% | |
| Democratic | Scott Morrow | 63,727 | 24.12% | −5.98% | |
| Write-in | 2,017 | 0.76% | +0.60% | ||
| Total votes | 264,162 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
| County[21] | John Barrasso Republican |
Scott Morrow Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Albany | 9,737 | 55.34% | 7,745 | 44.02% | 114 | 0.65% | 1,992 | 11.32% | 17,596 |
| Big Horn | 4,922 | 86.90% | 703 | 12.41% | 39 | 0.69% | 4,219 | 74.49% | 5,664 |
| Campbell | 15,774 | 88.68% | 1,877 | 10.55% | 137 | 0.77% | 13,897 | 78.13% | 17,788 |
| Carbon | 5,028 | 80.01% | 1,216 | 19.35% | 40 | 0.64% | 3,812 | 60.66% | 6,284 |
| Converse | 5,699 | 86.97% | 802 | 12.24% | 52 | 0.79% | 4,897 | 74.73% | 6,553 |
| Crook | 3,817 | 89.94% | 393 | 9.26% | 34 | 0.80% | 3,424 | 80.68% | 4,244 |
| Fremont | 11,930 | 70.72% | 4,823 | 28.59% | 117 | 0.69% | 7,107 | 42.13% | 16,870 |
| Goshen | 5,066 | 83.01% | 1,011 | 16.57% | 26 | 0.43% | 4,055 | 66.44% | 6,103 |
| Hot Springs | 2,140 | 82.66% | 436 | 16.84% | 13 | 0.50% | 1,704 | 65.82% | 2,589 |
| Johnson | 4,063 | 84.15% | 727 | 15.06% | 38 | 0.79% | 3,336 | 69.10% | 4,828 |
| Laramie | 29,648 | 68.77% | 13,092 | 30.37% | 371 | 0.86% | 16,556 | 38.40% | 43,111 |
| Lincoln | 9,077 | 85.46% | 1,480 | 13.93% | 64 | 0.60% | 7,597 | 71.53% | 10,621 |
| Natrona | 25,240 | 75.90% | 7,674 | 23.08% | 342 | 1.03% | 17,566 | 52.82% | 33,256 |
| Niobrara | 1,073 | 89.94% | 118 | 9.89% | 2 | 0.17% | 955 | 80.05% | 1,193 |
| Park | 13,343 | 81.92% | 2,790 | 17.13% | 154 | 0.95% | 10,553 | 64.79% | 16,287 |
| Platte | 3,924 | 81.30% | 747 | 16.37% | 33 | 2.33% | 3,177 | 64.93% | 4,704 |
| Sheridan | 12,580 | 77.88% | 3,438 | 21.28% | 136 | 0.84% | 9,142 | 56.59% | 16,154 |
| Sublette | 4,007 | 82.98% | 779 | 16.13% | 43 | 0.89% | 3,228 | 66.85% | 4,829 |
| Sweetwater | 12,724 | 77.82% | 3,550 | 21.71% | 77 | 0.47% | 9,174 | 56.11% | 16,351 |
| Teton | 5,083 | 38.92% | 7,885 | 60.38% | 91 | 0.70% | -2,802 | -21.46% | 13,059 |
| Uinta | 7,310 | 82.68% | 1,478 | 16.72% | 53 | 0.60% | 5,832 | 65.97% | 8,841 |
| Washakie | 3,207 | 83.93% | 588 | 15.39% | 26 | 0.68% | 2,619 | 68.54% | 3,821 |
| Weston | 3,026 | 88.58% | 375 | 10.98% | 15 | 0.44% | 2,651 | 77.61% | 3,416 |
| Totals | 198,418 | 75.11% | 63,727 | 24.12% | 2,017 | 0.76% | 134,691 | 50.99% | 264,162 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Notes
- ↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- 1 2 "Wyoming Sen. Barrasso Will Run for No. 2 Spot in GOP Leadership, Narrowing Race to Replace McConnell". US News & World Report. March 5, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- 1 2 "Wyoming's Primary Election Is Set: 167 Candidates In 72 Contested Races". cowboystatedaily.com. May 31, 2024. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ↑ Rasner, Ryan (August 4, 2023). "Reid Rasner of Wyoming Announces Candidacy for United States Senate". EIN News. Retrieved August 7, 2023.
- 1 2 Hageman, Harriet (May 4, 2024). "I'm Endorsing Sen. John Barrasso For Re-Election And Here's Why". Cowboy State Daily. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
- ↑ "Senator Lummis Endorses Barrasso for Reelection". GoCo Now. May 14, 2024. Retrieved June 7, 2026.
- ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- ↑ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 Election United States Senate - Wyoming". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- 1 2 "Legislative Candidates Summaries" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on November 1, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ↑ Cygnal (R)
- 1 2 Wyoming Secretary of State. "2024 General Election Statewide Candidates Summary" (PDF). Retrieved November 16, 2024.
External links
Official campaign websites