CS Knowledge Base

The 2020 Arizona House of Representatives election was held on November 3, 2020. Voters in each of Arizona's 30 legislative districts elected two state representatives to the Arizona House of Representatives. The election coincided with the elections for other offices, including the presidency, U.S Senate, U.S. House of Representatives, and state senate. The primary election took place on August 4, 2020.^[1]^[2]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[3]	Lean D (flip)	October 21, 2020

Polling

Each voter may select up to two candidates in two-member districts such as HD23; the top two vote-getters win the seats.^[4] Consequently, poll results have been displayed here as the accumulation of a candidate's first and second preferences and therefore sum to 200% instead of 100%.

House District 23

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Joseph Chaplik (R)	Eric Kurland (D)	John Kavanagh (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling^[5]	October 6–7, 2020	500 (V)	± 4.4%	42%	38%	32%	46%^[b]	22%
Public Policy Polling^[6]	September 1–2, 2020	– (V)^[c]	–	43%	39%	37%	–	–

Results

Districts 1 • 2 • 3 • 4 • 5 • 6 • 7 • 8 • 9 • 10 • 11 • 12 • 13 • 14 • 15 • 16 • 17 • 18 • 19 • 20 • 21 • 22 • 23 • 24 • 25 • 26 • 27 • 28 • 29 • 30

District 1

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 1st district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Judy Burges	92,058	40.8%
	Republican	Quang Nguyen	86,405	38.3%
	Democratic	Judy Stahl	47,204	20.9%
Total votes			225,667	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 2

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 2nd district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Daniel Hernandez Jr. (incumbent)	46,467	37.3%
	Democratic	Andrea Dalessandro	44,296	35.5%
	Republican	Deborah McEwen	33,956	27.2%
Total votes			124,719	100%

District 3

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 3rd district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Alma Hernandez (incumbent)	49,009	50.3%
	Democratic	Andrés Cano (incumbent)	48,505	49.7%
Total votes			97,514	100%
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 4

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 4th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Charlene Fernandez (incumbent)	40,797	39.8%
	Republican	Joel John	32,318	31.5%
	Democratic	Geraldine "Gerae" Peten (incumbent)	29,342	28.6%
Total votes			102,457	100%
	Democratic hold
	Republican gain from Democratic

District 5

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 5th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Regina Cobb (incumbent)	71,279	53.9%
	Republican	Leo Biasiucci (incumbent)	60,875	46.1%
Total votes			132,154	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 6

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 6th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Walter "Walt" Blackman (incumbent)	59,325	28.9%
	Republican	Brenda Barton	54,041	26.3%
	Democratic	Coral J Evans	51,986	25.3%
Total votes			165,352	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 7

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 7th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Myron Tsosie (incumbent)	51,897	35.4%
	Democratic	Arlando Teller (incumbent)	42,272	28.9%
	Republican	James "Jim" Parks	26,897	18.4%
Total votes			121,066	100%
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 8

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 8th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	David Cook (incumbent)	45,117	35.7%
	Republican	Frank Pratt	43,799	34.6%
	Democratic	Sharon Girard	37,384	29.6%
Total votes			126,300	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 9

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 9th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Pamela Hannley Powers (incumbent)	64,781	36.5%
	Democratic	Randall "Randy" Friese (incumbent)	64,772	36.5%
	Republican	Brendan Lyons	48,026	27.0%
Total votes			177,579	100%
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 10

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 10th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Domingo DeGrazia (incumbent)	59,725	28.6%
	Democratic	Stephanie Stahl Hamilton	59,344	28.4%
	Republican	Michael Hicks	46,950	22.5%
Total votes			166,019	100%
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 11

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 11th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bret Roberts (incumbent)	68,805	34.7%
	Republican	Mark Finchem (incumbent)	68,101	34.4%
	Democratic	Felipe R Perez	61,245	30.9%
Total votes			198,151	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 12

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 12th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Travis Grantham (incumbent)	93,972	48.3%
	Republican	Jake Hoffman	92,941	47.8%
Total votes			186,913	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 13

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 13th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Timothy "Tim" Dunn (incumbent)	71,049	37.7%
	Republican	Joanne Osborne (incumbent)	69,733	37.0%
	Democratic	Mariana Sandoval	47,650	25.3%
Total votes			140,782	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 14

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 14th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Gail Griffin (incumbent)	63,170	32.7%
	Republican	Becky Nutt (incumbent)	62,722	32.5%
	Democratic	Kimberly "Kim" Beach - Moschetti	35,289	18.3%
Total votes			161,181	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 15

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 15th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Kaiser	71,900	37.1%
	Republican	Justin Wilmeth	66,482	34.3%
	Democratic	Kristin Dybvig-Pawelko	55,259	28.5%
Total votes			193,641	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 16

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 16th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jacqueline Parker	74,784	39.2%
	Republican	John Fillmore (incumbent)	68,760	36.1%
	Democratic	Helen Hunter	47,071	24.7%
Total votes			190,615	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 17

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 17th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jennifer Pawlik (incumbent)	65,172	33.8%
	Republican	Jeff Weninger (incumbent)	64,501	33.4%
	Republican	Liz Harris	63,409	32.8%
Total votes			193,082	100%
	Democratic hold
	Republican hold

District 18

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 18th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jennifer Jermaine (incumbent)	70,049	28.9%
	Democratic	Denise "Mitzi" Epstein (incumbent)	67,649	27.9%
	Republican	Bob Robson	55,140	22.8%
Total votes			192,838	79.6%
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 19

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 19th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Diego Espinoza (incumbent)	43,372	52.9%
	Democratic	Lorenzo Sierra (incumbent)	38,617	47.1%
Total votes			81,989	100.0%
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 20

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 20th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Judy Schwiebert	50,633	34.5%
	Republican	Shawnna Bolick (incumbent)	49,268	33.5%
	Republican	Anthony Kern (incumbent)	47,094	32.0%
Total votes			146,995	100.0%
	Democratic gain from Republican
	Republican hold

District 21

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 21st district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Beverly Pingerelli	57,803	35.6%
	Republican	Kevin Payne (incumbent)	53,441	32.9%
	Democratic	Kathy Knecht	51,047	31.5%
Total votes			162,291	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 22

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 22nd district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ben Toma (incumbent)	92,912	32.3%
	Republican	Frank Carroll (incumbent)	92,231	32.1%
	Democratic	Wendy Garcia	53,522	18.6%
Total votes			238,655
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 23

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 23rd district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Kavanagh (incumbent)	86,307	37.2%
	Republican	Joseph Chaplik	80,264	34.6%
	Democratic	Eric Kurland	65,257	28.1%
Total votes			231,828	100.0%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 24

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 24th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Amish Shah (incumbent)	61,639	35.9%
	Democratic	Jennifer Longdon (incumbent)	60,233	35.1%
	Republican	Robyn Cushman	26,099	15.2%
Total votes			147,971
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 25

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 25th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Michelle Udall (incumbent)	69,049	38.7%
	Republican	Russell W. "Rusty" Bowers (incumbent)	63,412	35.5%
	Democratic	Suzanne Hug	46,180	25.9%
Total votes			178,641	100%
	Republican hold
	Republican hold

District 26

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 26th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Melody Hernandez	46,266	34.2%
	Democratic	Athena Salman (incumbent)	44,981	33.2%
	Republican	Seth "Marcus" Sifuentes	22,316	16.5%
Total votes			113,563
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 27

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 27th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Diego Rodriguez (incumbent)	48,039	43.0%
	Democratic	Reginald Bolding (incumbent)	43,334	38.8%
	Republican	Tatiana M. Peña	20,236	18.1%
Total votes			111,609	100%
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 28

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 28th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kelli Butler (incumbent)	60,871	27.6%
	Democratic	Aaron Lieberman (incumbent)	57,760	26.2%
	Republican	Jana Jackson	52,839	23.9%
Total votes			171,470
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 29

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 29th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cesar Chavez (incumbent)	38,818	38.0%
	Democratic	Richard Andrade (incumbent)	32,075	31.4%
	Republican	Billy Bragg	15,811	15.5%
Total votes			86,704
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

District 30

2020 Arizona House of Representatives election, 30th district
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Raquel Terán (incumbent)	34,106	52.8%
	Democratic	Robert Meza (incumbent)	30,546	47.3%
Total votes			64,652	100%
	Democratic hold
	Democratic hold

Notes

Percentages may not total 100% because of rounding.

↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
↑ Would not vote for a second candidate with 46%
↑ Not yet released

References

↑ "Live: Arizona State Primary Election Results 2020". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved September 3, 2020.
↑ Oxford, Andrew. "Arizona primary: Most incumbents in Legislature hang on, but Carter and Lawrence may be in trouble". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved September 3, 2020.
↑ "October Overview: Handicapping the 2020 State Legislature Races". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 1, 2020.
↑ "Competitive Race in Arizona's 23rd Legislative District" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. October 11, 2020. Retrieved October 11, 2020.
↑ Public Policy Polling
↑ Public Policy Polling

External links

Arizona 2019 & 2020 Elections, OpenSecrets

[Key-5] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[7] Would not vote for a second candidate with 46%

[9] Not yet released

[1] "Live: Arizona State Primary Election Results 2020". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved September 3, 2020.

[2] Oxford, Andrew. "Arizona primary: Most incumbents in Legislature hang on, but Carter and Lawrence may be in trouble". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved September 3, 2020.

[cook-october-3] "October Overview: Handicapping the 2020 State Legislature Races". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 1, 2020.

[4] "Competitive Race in Arizona's 23rd Legislative District" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. October 11, 2020. Retrieved October 11, 2020.

[6] Public Policy Polling

[8] Public Policy Polling

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