The 2016 West Virginia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on May 10.

Incumbent Democratic governor Earl Ray Tomblin was barred from running for a second full term. He had ascended to the governorship upon Joe Manchin's resignation in 2010, won a 2011 special election to complete the term, and won a full term in 2012. Under the West Virginia Constitution, a partial term counts toward the limit of two consecutive terms.

Democratic nominee Jim Justice, a hotelier and coal baron, won the open seat with a plurality of the vote, defeating Republican state senator Bill Cole and former state senator Charlotte Pritt, who ran as a member of the Mountain Party. As of 2024, this is the last time a Democrat was elected governor of West Virginia, the last West Virginia gubernatorial race where the winner won less than 61% of votes, and the last West Virginia gubernatorial race where the winner did not win every county. Justice switched parties in August 2017 and was re-elected as a Republican in 2020; his party switch gave Republicans the governorship for the first time since 2001 and a trifecta in the state for the first time since 1931.[1]

Background

In November 2010, Democratic governor Joe Manchin resigned after being elected to the U.S. Senate. Earl Ray Tomblin, the president of the West Virginia Senate (with the honorary title of lieutenant governor), became acting governor, won an October 2011 special election to complete the term, and won a full term in the regularly scheduled 2012 election. Tomblin was ineligible to run for re-election in 2016, as the Constitution of West Virginia limits governors to two consecutive terms regardless of whether they are full or partial terms. However, governors are re-eligible after four years out of office.[2][3]

After publicly speculating he would run for his former office, Manchin was considered a heavy favorite in the 2016 race, but he announced on April 19, 2015, that he would remain in the Senate instead.[4]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Justice
Booth
Goodwin
Jeff
Kessler
Undecided
MetroNews[18] April 22–May 2, 2016 315 ± 4.0% 32% 27% 23% 18%
Public Policy Polling[19] April 29–May 1, 2016 637 ± 3.9% 37% 23% 19% 21%
West Virginia Veterans[20] March 2–6, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 36% 20% 16% 28%
MetroNews[21] February 11–16, 2016 208 ± 4.9% 32% 25% 23% 21%
Global Strategy Group[22]^ December 1–3, 2015 350 ± 5.2% 39% 13% 19% 21%
  • ^ Indicates a poll taken for Jim Justice campaign.

Results

Democratic primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Justice 132,704 51.39%
Democratic Booth Goodwin 65,416 25.32%
Democratic Jeff Kessler 60,230 23.31%
Total votes 258,350 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Did not file

  • Andrew Utterback, college student and candidate for mayor of Pineville in 2014[25]
  • Edwin Vanover, former Bramwell police chief and Democratic candidate for House of Delegates in 2012[25]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Cole
David
McKinley
Patrick
Morrisey
Undecided
Harper Polling[44] April 9–11, 2015 242 ± 6.3% 15% 31% 25% 29%

Results

Republican primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Cole 161,127 100.00%
Total votes 161,127 100.00%

Mountain Party

Candidates

Declared

  • Charlotte Pritt, former Democratic state delegate, former Democratic state senator, write-in candidate for governor in 1992 and Democratic nominee for governor in 1996[45]

Endorsements

Charlotte Pritt

Individuals

Organizations

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

  • David Moran, retired engineer and farmer[49]

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[50] Tossup August 12, 2016
Daily Kos[51] Tossup November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[52] Tilt D November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] Lean D November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[54] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2016
Governing[55] Tossup October 27, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Justice (D)
Bill
Cole (R)
Charlotte
Pritt (M)
David
Moran (L)
Phil
Hudok (C)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey[56] November 1–7, 2016 472 ± 4.6% 36% 45% 13% 6%
SurveyMonkey[57] October 31–November 6, 2016 443 ± 4.6% 37% 43% 13% 7%
SurveyMonkey[58] October 28–November 3, 2016 386 ± 4.6% 40% 42% 12% 6%
SurveyMonkey[59] October 27–November 2, 2016 330 ± 4.6% 39% 44% 10% 7%
SurveyMonkey[60] October 26–November 1, 2016 318 ± 4.6% 42% 41% 12% 5%
SurveyMonkey[61] October 25–31, 2016 321 ± 4.6% 42% 43% 13% 2%
MetroNews[62] October 12–17, 2016 408 ± 4.9% 44% 33% 8% 5% 9%
Global Strategy Group[63] October 11–13, 2016 N/A ± 4.0% 44% 34% 8% 2% 12%
NMB Research[64] October 8–10, 2016 N/A ± 4.4% 39% 39% 5% 2% 1% 12%
Garin-Hart-Yang[65] September 13–17, 2016 500 ± 5.0% 46% 33% 7% 4% 10%
Just Win Strategies[66] September 8–10, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 44% 42% 3% 2% 2% 7%
R.L. Repass & Partners/MetroNews[67] August 9–28, 2016 435 ± 4.7% 46% 32% 8% 5% 9%
Global Strategy Group[68] August 1–3, 2016 419 ± 4.8% 47% 37% 15%
Public Policy Polling[19] April 29–May 1, 2016 1,201 ± 2.8% 41% 35% 24%
MetroNews[18] April 22–May 2, 2016 596 ± 4.0% 52% 34% 14%
Orion Strategies[69] February 20–21, 2016 306 ± 5.6% 37% 33% 30%
MetroNews[21] February 11–16, 2016 411 ± 4.9% 49% 39% 12%
Orion Strategies[70] August 24–25, 2015 406 ± 4.9% 34% 31% 35%

→ Indicates an internal poll conducted by the West Virginia Republican Party for Bill Cole.

Hypothetical polling

with Booth Goodwin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Booth
Goodwin (D)
David
McKinley (R)
Undecided
Harper Polling[71] April 9–11, 2015 702 ± 3.7% 35% 40% 25%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Booth
Goodwin (D)
Patrick
Morrisey (R)
Undecided
Harper Polling[71] April 9–11, 2015 702 ± 3.7% 36% 36% 28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Booth
Goodwin (D)
Bill
Cole (R)
Other Undecided
MetroNews[18] April 22–May 2, 2016 596 ± 4.0% 47% 39% 14%
Public Policy Polling[19] April 29–May 1, 2016 1,201 ± 2.8% 33% 39% 28%
Orion Strategies[69] February 20–21, 2016 306 ± 5.6% 33% 36% 31%
MetroNews[21] February 11–16, 2016 411 ± 4.9% 43% 44% 14%
Harper Polling[72] April 9–11, 2015 702 ± 3.7% 35% 37% 27%

with Jeff Kessler

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Kessler (D)
David
McKinley (R)
Undecided
Harper Polling[71] April 9–11, 2015 702 ± 3.7% 32% 42% 26%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Kessler (D)
Patrick
Morrisey (R)
Undecided
Harper Polling[71] April 9–11, 2015 702 ± 3.7% 35% 38% 27%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Kessler (D)
Bill
Cole (R)
Other Undecided
MetroNews[18] April 22–May 2, 2016 596 ± 4.0% 45% 39% 16%
Public Policy Polling[19] April 29–May 1, 2016 1,201 ± 2.8% 30% 40% 30%
Orion Strategies[69] February 20–21, 2016 306 ± 5.6% 30% 40% 30%
MetroNews[21] February 11–16, 2016 411 ± 4.9% 40% 45% 15%
Orion Strategies[70] August 24–25, 2015 406 ± 4.9% 26% 37% 37%
Harper Polling[72] April 9–11, 2015 702 ± 3.7% 34% 38% 28%

with Joe Manchin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joe
Manchin (D)
Bill
Cole (R)
Undecided
Harper Polling[71] April 9–11, 2015 702 ± 3.7% 54% 32% 14%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joe
Manchin (D)
David
McKinley (R)
Undecided
Harper Polling[71] April 9–11, 2015 702 ± 3.7% 52% 35% 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joe
Manchin (D)
Patrick
Morrisey (R)
Undecided
Harper Polling[71] April 9–11, 2015 702 ± 3.7% 58% 29% 13%
Global Strategy Group*[73] March 15–18, 2015 600 ± 4.0% 60% 30% 10%
  • * Internal poll for Joe Manchin

Results

West Virginia gubernatorial election, 2016[74]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Jim Justice 350,408 49.09% −1.40%
Republican Bill Cole 301,987 42.30% −3.35%
Mountain Charlotte Pritt 42,068 5.89% +3.36%
Libertarian David Moran 15,354 2.15% +0.81%
Constitution Phil Hudok 4,041 0.57% N/A
Total votes 713,858 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

County Jim Justice
Democratic
Bill Cole
Republican
Charlotte Pritt
Mountain
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # % # %
Barbour 2,701 44.31% 2,928 48.03% 263 4.31% 204 3.35% −227 −3.72% 6,096
Berkeley 14,879 35.55% 23,103 55.20% 2,320 5.54% 1,550 3.70% −8,224 −19.65% 41,852
Boone 5,649 64.22% 2,622 29.81% 399 4.54% 126 1.43% 3,027 34.41% 8,796
Braxton 2,959 58.70% 1,765 35.01% 247 4.90% 70 1.39% 1,194 23.69% 5,041
Brooke 4,570 48.34% 4,087 43.23% 498 5.27% 298 3.15% 483 5.11% 9,453
Cabell 18,148 54.46% 12,065 36.21% 2,322 6.97% 789 2.37% 6,083 18.25% 33,324
Calhoun 1,193 45.62% 1,157 44.24% 204 7.80% 61 2.33% 36 1.38% 2,615
Clay 1,683 55.60% 1,138 37.59% 154 5.09% 52 1.72% 545 18.00% 3,027
Doddridge 905 31.69% 1,739 60.89% 142 4.97% 70 2.45% −834 −29.20% 2,856
Fayette 9,631 62.06% 4,560 29.38% 1,004 6.47% 324 2.09% 5,071 32.68% 15,519
Gilmer 1,195 46.59% 1,116 43.51% 171 6.67% 83 3.24% 79 3.08% 2,565
Grant 1,313 27.62% 3,203 67.39% 101 2.12% 136 2.86% −1,890 −39.76% 4,753
Greenbrier 8,589 60.56% 4,361 30.75% 998 7.04% 234 1.65% 4,228 29.81% 14,182
Hampshire 2,537 30.09% 5,239 62.15% 380 4.51% 274 3.25% −2,702 −32.05% 8,430
Hancock 5,322 42.81% 5,992 48.19% 688 5.53% 431 3.47% −670 −5.39% 12,433
Hardy 2,237 40.22% 3,015 54.21% 173 3.11% 137 2.46% −778 −13.99% 5,562
Harrison 14,317 50.63% 11,916 42.14% 1,274 4.51% 772 2.73% 2,401 8.49% 28,279
Jackson 6,200 50.44% 5,122 41.67% 801 6.52% 168 1.37% 1,078 8.77% 12,291
Jefferson 9,588 40.23% 11,599 48.67% 1,639 6.88% 1,008 4.23% −2,011 −8.44% 23,834
Kanawha 44,756 58.59% 23,849 31.22% 6,650 8.71% 1,137 1.49% 20,907 27.37% 76,392
Lewis 3,222 46.25% 3,294 47.28% 307 4.41% 144 2.07% −72 −1.03% 6,967
Lincoln 4,141 57.65% 2,534 35.28% 405 5.64% 103 1.43% 1,607 22.37% 7,183
Logan 6,781 55.52% 4,497 36.82% 788 6.45% 147 1.20% 2,284 18.70% 12,213
Marion 12,158 52.46% 8,952 38.63% 1,286 5.55% 780 3.37% 3,206 13.83% 23,176
Marshall 6,491 49.46% 5,696 43.40% 640 4.88% 298 2.27% 795 6.06% 13,125
Mason 5,566 54.27% 4,062 39.60% 459 4.47% 170 1.66% 1,504 14.66% 10,257
McDowell 3,459 56.09% 2,493 40.42% 144 2.34% 71 1.15% 966 15.66% 6,167
Mercer 9,323 40.28% 12,662 54.70% 797 3.44% 364 1.57% −3,339 −14.43% 23,146
Mineral 3,485 30.44% 7,047 61.56% 436 3.81% 479 4.18% −3,562 −31.12% 11,447
Mingo 5,168 54.89% 3,699 39.28% 427 4.53% 122 1.30% 1,469 15.60% 9,416
Monongalia 16,016 44.29% 14,343 39.66% 3,979 11.00% 1,825 5.05% 1,673 4.63% 36,163
Monroe 2,797 47.67% 2,562 43.66% 425 7.24% 84 1.43% 235 4.00% 5,868
Morgan 1,929 25.96% 4,764 64.11% 510 6.86% 228 3.07% −2,835 −38.15% 7,431
Nicholas 5,780 60.03% 3,358 34.87% 353 3.67% 138 1.43% 2,422 25.15% 9,629
Ohio 8,377 46.48% 8,048 44.66% 1,084 6.02% 512 2.84% 329 1.83% 18,021
Pendleton 1,335 42.26% 1,568 49.64% 164 5.19% 92 2.91% −233 −7.38% 3,159
Pleasants 1,713 53.99% 1,288 40.59% 109 3.44% 63 1.99% 425 13.39% 3,173
Pocahontas 1,975 53.67% 1,227 33.34% 379 10.30% 99 2.69% 748 20.33% 3,680
Preston 3,964 31.66% 6,575 52.52% 571 4.56% 1,410 11.26% −2,611 −20.85% 12,520
Putnam 13,410 53.28% 9,956 39.56% 1,400 5.56% 402 1.60% 3,454 13.72% 25,168
Raleigh 16,841 56.46% 11,140 37.35% 1,307 4.38% 541 1.81% 5,701 19.11% 29,829
Randolph 5,120 46.78% 4,500 41.11% 572 5.23% 754 6.89% 620 5.66% 10,946
Ritchie 1,284 31.67% 2,523 62.23% 164 4.05% 83 2.05% −1,239 −30.56% 4,054
Roane 2,794 52.64% 2,090 39.37% 333 6.27% 91 1.71% 704 13.26% 5,308
Summers 2,727 55.20% 1,793 36.30% 335 6.78% 85 1.72% 934 18.91% 4,940
Taylor 3,005 45.45% 3,102 46.92% 272 4.11% 232 3.51% −97 −1.47% 6,611
Tucker 1,481 42.58% 1,609 46.26% 185 5.32% 203 5.84% −128 −3.68% 3,478
Tyler 1,449 39.57% 1,969 53.77% 151 4.12% 93 2.54% −520 −14.20% 3,662
Upshur 3,726 40.53% 4,716 51.29% 480 5.22% 272 2.96% −990 −10.77% 9,194
Wayne 8,558 55.79% 5,824 37.96% 667 4.35% 292 1.90% 2,734 17.82% 15,341
Webster 1,474 49.17% 1,269 42.33% 170 5.67% 85 2.84% 205 6.84% 2,998
Wetzel 3,234 51.48% 2,545 40.51% 319 5.08% 184 2.93% 689 10.97% 6,282
Wirt 1,171 48.19% 1,106 45.51% 102 4.20% 51 2.10% 65 2.67% 2,430
Wood 17,240 48.26% 15,959 44.67% 1,653 4.63% 874 2.45% 1,281 3.59% 35,726
Wyoming 4,842 61.68% 2,641 33.64% 267 3.40% 100 1.27% 2,201 28.04% 7,850
Totals350,40849.09%301,98742.30%42,0685.89%19,3952.72%48,4216.78%713,858

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Justice won two of three congressional districts, which both elected Republicans.[75]

District Justice Cole Pritt Representative
1st 45.2% 45.4% 6% David McKinley
2nd 48% 43% 7% Alex Mooney
3rd 55% 38% 5% Evan Jenkins

Maps

References

  1. Staff, WSAZ News (November 4, 2020). "Justice wins second term as W.Va. governor". www.wsaz.com. Retrieved July 8, 2023.
  2. 1 2 3 Miller, Tom. "2016 race for governor could be crowded". The Lincoln Journal. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved March 4, 2013.
  3. King, Joselyn (May 18, 2011). "Tomblin, Maloney win nominations". Wetzel Chronicle. Retrieved March 3, 2013.
  4. Ramsey, Pam (April 19, 2015). "Manchin says he'll stay in Senate, forgoes governor bid". The Journal. Archived from the original on April 27, 2015. Retrieved April 19, 2015.
  5. "Ex-US attorney Goodwin files for W.Va. governor race". The Journal. January 4, 2016. Archived from the original on March 7, 2016. Retrieved January 4, 2016.
  6. Eyre, Eric (May 11, 2015). "Greenbrier owner Jim Justice enters governor's race". The Charleston Gazette. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  7. Ebert, Joel (March 19, 2015). "Kessler says he'll run for governor in 2016". Charleston Daily Mail. Retrieved March 19, 2015.
  8. 1 2 3 "Sunday Sit-Down: West Virginia GOP Chairman Conrad Lucas". The Intelligencer & Wheeling News Register. November 16, 2014. Retrieved November 18, 2014.
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  27. Hicks, Ian (June 1, 2015). "McKinley Won't Run for Governor". The Intelligencer & Wheeling News Register. Retrieved June 1, 2015.
  28. Johnson, Shauna (March 19, 2015). "Morrisey says he is considering a possible run for governor in 2016". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved March 20, 2015.
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  30. Jenkins, Jeff (June 16, 2015). "Morrisey opts to seek reelection instead of governor's office". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved June 17, 2015.
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  35. "West Virginia Endorsements 2016". National Right to Life. October 15, 2016. Archived from the original on October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016.
  36. "W.Va. Coal Association endorses Bill Cole for governor". Bluefield Daily Telegraph. February 13, 2016.
  37. "Endorsement: Republican Bill Cole, governor of W.Va". Bluefield Daily Telegraph. October 23, 2016.
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  41. "Cole will deliver progress for W.Va". The Inter-Mountain. October 15, 2016.
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  45. "Mountain Party chooses Pritt as gubernatorial candidate". The Charleston Gazette. July 16, 2016. Retrieved July 16, 2016.
  46. "Back to the future: The return of Charlotte Pritt". July 20, 2016.
  47. "Charlotte Pritt: The Mountain Party's Maverick". November 4, 2016. Archived from the original on July 3, 2022. Retrieved May 2, 2022.
  48. Sconyers, Jim (September 10, 2016). "West Virginia Sierra Club Endorses Pritt For Governor". Sierra Club. Archived from the original on June 25, 2017. Retrieved September 13, 2016.
  49. Staff (April 2016). "WV Libertarians announce candidates for statewide offices". Charleston Gazette-Mail. Retrieved April 14, 2016.
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  51. "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.[permanent dead link]
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  53. "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 15, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
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  56. SurveyMonkey
  57. SurveyMonkey
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  59. SurveyMonkey
  60. SurveyMonkey
  61. SurveyMonkey
  62. MetroNews
  63. Global Strategy Group
  64. NMB Research
  65. Garin-Hart-Yang
  66. Just Win Strategies
  67. R.L. Repass & Partners/MetroNews
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  69. 1 2 3 Orion Strategies
  70. 1 2 Orion Strategies
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  72. 1 2 Harper Polling
  73. Global Strategy Group*
  74. "Statewide Results General Election November 8, 2016". West Virginia Secretary of State. State of West Virginia. Archived from the original on 25 December 2016. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  75. "Our Campaigns - WV Governor Race - Nov 08, 2016". www.ourcampaigns.com. Retrieved August 19, 2024.

Official campaign websites (archived)